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Retail Sales Slip in April as Calendar Shifts, Economic Pressures Weigh on Consumer Demand, Reports Circana

By

Marshal Cohen

Marshal Cohen

May 26, 2026

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Current retail results are clouded. April may have been short on growth, but it is important to note that year-to-date retail results reflect minor growth, underscoring the importance of looking past a singular view...

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  • Writer: Marshal Cohen
    Marshal Cohen
  • 7 hours ago
  • 3 min read

Younger consumers continue to reshape spending habits


CHICAGO, May 26, 2026 — Retail performance softened in April, as challenging year-over-year comparisons and sustained economic pressures weighed heavily on consumer demand. Overall retail spending declined 1.6% compared to April 2025, while unit demand fell 4.7%, reflecting a cautious consumer environment across multiple sectors, according to Circana, LLC. The decline was driven in part by calendar-related distortions. The Easter holiday shifted into March this year, creating an unfavorable comparison for April results. Additionally, elevated pricing in key categories last year — particularly eggs during the height of avian flu disruptions — further complicated year-over-year performance metrics.


During the four weeks ending May 2, 2026, Circana reports notable declines in key retail sectors. Retail food and beverage dollar sales decreased 1.7%, with a 4% drop in unit sales. Non-edible consumer packaged goods (CPG) revenue dipped 0.7%, while unit demand was down 5.8%. Discretionary general merchandise sales revenue fell 2.1%, with a 10.9% drop in units.


“Current retail results are clouded. April may have been short on growth, but it is important to note that year-to-date retail results reflect minor growth, underscoring the importance of looking past a singular view,” said Marshal Cohen, chief retail industry advisor for Circana. “Inconsistent year-over-year comparisons combined with mounting macroeconomic pressures on household budgets from rising prices across retail, and now at the pumps, are creating an incomplete top-line picture of retail sales — particularly in discretionary spending.”


Challenging comparisons in some areas are further fueling negative results, but softer comps among select consumer segments are helping to prevent steeper declines. Since early 2025, younger consumers have faced mounting financial pressures, including rising living costs, a moderating job market, increasing credit card debt, and the resumption of student loan repayments. These factors have led to sustained declines in spending among younger consumers — even compared to already soft performance a year ago — creating ripple effects throughout retail.


As a result of the challenges faced by younger consumers, notable lifestyle shifts are emerging. Increased focus on cooking and entertaining at home, and growth in do-it-yourself solutions, including auto maintenance, echo behavior patterns seen during the pandemic, signaling a longer-term reset in how younger households allocate spending.


While older, more financially stable consumers remain a key source of growth, their spending is not unlimited. The consumer base is becoming increasingly fragmented. Different demographic groups are reacting to economic conditions in distinct ways, resulting in varied spending patterns and priorities.

“There is no longer a one-size-fits-all consumer,” added Cohen. “Retailers must tailor their approach across multiple dimensions to effectively meet evolving needs of a variety of consumer groups. As the impact of softer year-ago comparisons fades, retail success will depend on the ability to adapt quickly to shifting behaviors and deliver value through diversified offerings and targeted engagement strategies.”

About Circana 

Circana is a leader in providing technology, AI, and data to fast-moving consumer packaged goods companies, durables manufacturers, and retailers seeking to optimize their businesses. Circana’s predictive analytics and technology empower clients to measure their market share, understand the underlying consumer behavior driving it, and accelerate their growth. Circana’s Liquid Data® technology platform is powered by an expansive, high-quality data set, and intelligent algorithms trained on six decades of domain expertise. With Circana, clients can take immediate action to future-proof and evolve their growth strategies amid an increasingly complex, fast-paced, and ever-changing economy.  

 

Contact: 

Janine Marshall 

 

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About the author

Marshal Cohen is a nationally known expert on consumer behavior and the retail industry. He has followed retail trends for more than 30 years at Circana (formerly The NPD Group) and as the head of leading fashion and apparel manufacturers and major retailers.


As part of his work at Circana, Marshal leads many top firms in long-range and strategic planning sessions. He often utilizes motivational presentations to help launch corporate goals and kick-off meetings. Marshal is the author of two books, “Why Customers Do What They Do” (2006) and “Buy Me! How to Get Customers to Choose Your Products and Ignore the Rest” (2010).


In addition to his duties at Circana, Marshal is a member of several boards of directors and was appointed to the Cotton Board and American Apparel and Footwear Association (AAFA). He is also a guest professor at North Carolina State University’s Wilson College of Textiles, where he introduces students and faculty to techniques for analyzing and applying data. Marshal has been a guest lecturer at the Wharton School of Business, the Fashion Institute of Technology, and Savannah College of Art and Design. He has also twice been named to the Footwear News Power 100 list.


Marshal is a regular contributor to many major media outlets. He is frequently quoted in publications like The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, and Women’s Wear Daily. Additionally, he appears on various television news programs, including “Today,” “Good Morning America,” and “CBS Sunday Morning,” and he has been a regular guest on Bloomberg TV and Radio. He is also a sought-after speaker at key industry events such as MAGIC, The Fairchild CEO Summits, The National Retail Federation’s (NRF) Annual Convention, and The American Apparel and Footwear Association’s (AAFA) Annual Executive Summit. Marshal was the only industry expert who appeared in the documentary, “God Save my Shoes,” produced by Caid Productions.


Marshal has held a variety of positions analyzing and interpreting Circana’s uniquely combined consumer and point-of-sale tracking services for the apparel, footwear, accessories, and sports industries. His career began in the training program at Bloomingdale’s, where he worked his way up to merchandise manager. From there, he became president of WilliWear and subsequently president of Stanley Blacker. He was also founder, owner, and president of Motive Marketing Group.


To reach Marshal Cohen for commentary, please email janine.marshall@circana.com.


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