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Consumer Spending Remains Resilient Amid Shifting Demand Patterns in May, Reports Circana

By

Marshal Cohen

Marshal Cohen

Jun 15, 2026

Posted in:

Category

While gas prices have eased slightly, consumers appear to have adjusted to elevated levels, unlocking pent-up demand. The pain at the pump didn’t dampen Memorial Day spending either — the week delivered modest year-over-year growth

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  • Writer: Marshal Cohen
    Marshal Cohen
  • 50 minutes ago
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CHICAGO, June 15, 2026 — U.S. consumers continued to spend in May despite mounting economic pressures, underscoring ongoing resilience even as purchasing behaviors evolve. Overall retail spending rose 1.3% year over year, while unit demand declined 1.5%, signaling a more selective and value-conscious shopper, according to Circana, LLC. May spending patterns highlighted increasingly erratic consumer behavior, shaped in part by the delayed impact of elevated fuel costs. 


In the four weeks ending May 30, 2026, performance varied across retail sectors. Retail food and beverage sales increased 2.2%, with unit demand essentially flat (+0.1%), indicating stable consumption despite early signs of moderation. Non-edible consumer packaged goods (CPG) posted a 2.3% increase in dollar sales, even as unit demand fell 2.1% year over year. Discretionary general merchandise saw 1.2% growth in revenue, alongside a sharper 4.3% decline in unit sales, reflecting heightened sensitivity to price and necessity.


“While gas prices have eased slightly, consumers appear to have adjusted to elevated levels, unlocking pent-up demand. The pain at the pump didn’t dampen Memorial Day spending either — the week delivered modest year-over-year growth,” said Marshal Cohen, chief retail industry advisor for Circana. “That being said, consumers may be callused to higher prices, but they’re not numb — they remain highly engaged and intentional in how they spend.” 


Discretionary Spending Faces Pressure


While overall consumption remains steady, discretionary categories are showing some strain, with non-edible CPG and general merchandise experiencing more pronounced softening in unit demand. Footwear and apparel are under the greatest pressure, with declining volumes and pricing compression. Notably, private label brands now account for 49% of apparel sales revenue, signaling value-driven trade-down behavior. Across retail, unit demand will be a critical indicator moving forward, as it reveals early signals of shifting priorities and potential pullbacks.


Lifestyle Priorities Guide Purchase Decisions


Despite tightening budgets, consumers continue to invest in categories aligned with lifestyle and enjoyment.


  • Entertainment-driven segments, such as video games and toys, recorded notable gains.

  • Beauty products remain a steady driver of discretionary spending. 

  • Practical purchases — including automotive products, technology, and small appliances — reflect ongoing prioritization of essential needs.


These behavioral patterns mirror those observed during the pandemic, though current shifts are rooted in economic uncertainty rather than health concerns, suggesting this is the consumer’s new go-to response to external volatility.


“Resilience in consumer spending is not automatic — it must be activated,” added Cohen. “Consumers remain willing to pay a premium for quality, but they are increasingly selective. Coupled with the current digital-first environment, impulse buying is hard to come by. Success lies in the ability to transform purchase moments into compelling, destination-driven experiences that balance both enjoyment and value.”






About Circana 

Circana is a leader in providing technology, AI, and data to fast-moving consumer packaged goods companies, durables manufacturers, and retailers seeking to optimize their businesses. Circana’s predictive analytics and technology empower clients to measure their market share, understand the underlying consumer behavior driving it, and accelerate their growth. Circana’s Liquid Data® technology platform is powered by an expansive, high-quality data set, and intelligent algorithms trained on six decades of domain expertise. With Circana, clients can take immediate action to future-proof and evolve their growth strategies amid an increasingly complex, fast-paced, and ever-changing economy.   

 

Contact: 

Janine Marshall 

 

 

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About the author

Marshal Cohen is a nationally known expert on consumer behavior and the retail industry. He has followed retail trends for more than 30 years at Circana (formerly The NPD Group) and as the head of leading fashion and apparel manufacturers and major retailers.


As part of his work at Circana, Marshal leads many top firms in long-range and strategic planning sessions. He often utilizes motivational presentations to help launch corporate goals and kick-off meetings. Marshal is the author of two books, “Why Customers Do What They Do” (2006) and “Buy Me! How to Get Customers to Choose Your Products and Ignore the Rest” (2010).


In addition to his duties at Circana, Marshal is a member of several boards of directors and was appointed to the Cotton Board and American Apparel and Footwear Association (AAFA). He is also a guest professor at North Carolina State University’s Wilson College of Textiles, where he introduces students and faculty to techniques for analyzing and applying data. Marshal has been a guest lecturer at the Wharton School of Business, the Fashion Institute of Technology, and Savannah College of Art and Design. He has also twice been named to the Footwear News Power 100 list.


Marshal is a regular contributor to many major media outlets. He is frequently quoted in publications like The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, and Women’s Wear Daily. Additionally, he appears on various television news programs, including “Today,” “Good Morning America,” and “CBS Sunday Morning,” and he has been a regular guest on Bloomberg TV and Radio. He is also a sought-after speaker at key industry events such as MAGIC, The Fairchild CEO Summits, The National Retail Federation’s (NRF) Annual Convention, and The American Apparel and Footwear Association’s (AAFA) Annual Executive Summit. Marshal was the only industry expert who appeared in the documentary, “God Save my Shoes,” produced by Caid Productions.


Marshal has held a variety of positions analyzing and interpreting Circana’s uniquely combined consumer and point-of-sale tracking services for the apparel, footwear, accessories, and sports industries. His career began in the training program at Bloomingdale’s, where he worked his way up to merchandise manager. From there, he became president of WilliWear and subsequently president of Stanley Blacker. He was also founder, owner, and president of Motive Marketing Group.


To reach Marshal Cohen for commentary, please email janine.marshall@circana.com.


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